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2024-12-14 04:52:23

After the European Central Bank decided not to interest rates, the yield of euro zone government bonds changed little; The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 1 basis point to 2.14%.The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.


ECB: There is no pre-commitment to a specific interest rate path. The investment portfolio of the asset purchase plan declines at a controllable and predictable rate.German two-year bonds recovered their decline and the yield was flat at 1.95%.ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing, ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing. However, because monetary policy is still restrictive and past interest rate hikes are still being transmitted to the credit stock, financing conditions are still tightening. Inflation prospect, core inflation and its transmission will determine the interest rate path.


Market news: Brazilian President Lula should be able to leave the hospital early next week.For the first time, Nanjing Port docked with container ships of "longest ship scale" and "maximum load". Today (December 12th) morning, the largest container ship that entered the port since the opening of Nanjing Port, Panamanian vessel "Mai Di Hong Wei", successfully docked at Longtan Container Terminal, setting a new "double historical record" for the longest scale and maximum load of container ships entering the port. It is understood that the ship is 208.3 meters long, 29.8 meters wide and 33,715 tons deadweight. This voyage is a direct flight from Europe to Nanjing, which will directly increase the maximum container capacity of incoming ships from the current 1938TEU (standard container) to 2600TEU. The successful berthing indicates that 30,000-ton container ships can enter and leave Nanjing Port normally. (CCTV News)ECB: Most indicators show that the inflation rate will stabilize at 2%.

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